Malik Washington

Miami Dolphins · WR · #6

DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under41.5

Over 41.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1146 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 41.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs CIN, 2025-12-21: 23, missed, 1 targets
vs TB, 2025-12-28: 4, missed, 3 targets
at NE, 2026-01-04: 6, missed, 4 targets
at LV, 2026-09-13: 53, cleared, 8 targets
at SF, 2026-09-20: 43, cleared, 5 targets
vs KC, 2026-09-27: 56, cleared, 10 targets
at MIN, 2026-10-04: 67, cleared, 5 targets
vs CIN, 2026-10-11: 43, cleared, 8 targets
at NYJ, 2026-10-25: 27, missed, 3 targets
vs NE, 2026-11-01: 40, missed, 6 targets

ClearedMissedThe 41.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 17.4–73.8 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 41.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Malik Willis led MIA in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 41.5 with Willis at quarterback: 5 of 7; with another MIA quarterback: 4 of 28
Defense vs wide receivers
DET allow 175.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 6th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2026: 6.4 (7 games)
Target share: 21% last 3 games · 25% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs NE

Splits

Over 41.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DET on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 41.5

Average: 36.2; −5.3 vs line
Median: 41.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −124

Research, not a pick. At −110 (the best of 6 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −124, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3601 book	—	7/10
−2504 books	—	6/10
−1254 books	—	6/10
−1146 books	−1155 books	5/10
+1434 books	—	3/10
+2404 books	—	1/10
+4004 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 41.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 41.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 41.5	Under 41.5
Bally Bet4 min ago	−110Best	—
betPARX4 min ago	−110Best	−118
BetRivers4 min ago	−112	−120
FanDuel3 min ago	−114	−114Best
Bovada4 min ago	−115	−115
Pinnacle4 min ago	−115	−115
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 3:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

41.5

No move since first seen