Malik NabersQuestionable

New York Giants · WR · #1

NYG @ PHI · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under72.5

Over 72.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1155 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 72.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

at DAL, 2025-09-14: 167, cleared, 13 targets
vs KC, 2025-09-21: 13, missed, 7 targets
vs LAC, 2025-09-28: 20, missed, 3 targets
vs DAL, 2026-09-13: 69, missed, 9 targets
at LAR, 2026-09-21: 1, missed, 4 targets
vs TEN, 2026-09-27: 26, missed, 6 targets
vs ARI, 2026-10-04: 112, cleared, 7 targets
at WSH, 2026-10-11: 121, cleared, 20 targets
vs NO, 2026-10-18: 165, cleared, 15 targets
at HOU, 2026-10-25: 111, cleared, 9 targets

ClearedMissedThe 72.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–146.4 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 72.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunTargets
Last 3: 14.7 targets · 2026: 10 (7 games) · up 47%
Target share: 34% last 3 games · 29% over 7 games this season
Quarterback
Jameis Winston led NYG in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: J.J. McCarthy 1 (led the last game); Jaxson Dart 1. Over 72.5 with Winston at quarterback: 3 of 5; with another NYG quarterback: 8 of 21
Defense vs wide receivers
PHI allow 183.8 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 4th most of 32
8 games
Rest
13 days off since Oct 25 at HOU

Splits

Over 72.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against PHI in his last 10; Over 72.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against PHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs PHI

Nabers didn't play the Oct 26, 2025 meeting; receiving yards the last time Nabers faced them: 64 (Jan 5, 2025)

Over 72.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against PHI on record

L10 · Over 72.5

Average: 80.5; +8 vs line
Median: 90; +17.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 53%; estimate · fair −111

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −111, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2104 books	—	6/10
−1304 books	—	5/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	5/10
−1155 books	−1144 books	5/10
−1051 book	−1261 book	5/10
+1164 books	—	5/10
+1704 books	—	5/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 72.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 72.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 72.5	Under 72.5
FanDuel4 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet6 min ago	−115	—
betPARX4 min ago	−115	−113Best
Bovada5 min ago	−115	−115
BetRivers4 min ago	−117	−114
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

72.5

73.5 → 72.5 since first seen