Lil'Jordan Humphrey

Denver Broncos · WR · #5

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over only0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +9005 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

20%2 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 on the road).

at LV, 2025-12-07: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
vs GB, 2025-12-14: 1, cleared, 4 carries + targets
vs JAX, 2025-12-21: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
at KC, 2025-12-25: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
vs BUF, 2026-01-17: 1, cleared, 5 carries + targets
vs NE, 2026-01-25: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
vs JAX, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
at LAC, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
at ARI, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
vs KC, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

What's different on Sunday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Bo Nix led DEN in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 0.5 with Nix at quarterback: 3 of 24; with another DEN quarterback: 2 of 9
Carries + targets
Last 3: 1.3 carries + targets · 2026: 1.3 (4 games)
Target share: 5% last 3 games · 4% over 4 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game lines
DEN −2.5 · total 44 (8 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 43.8 on average (8 games) · Humphrey has 4 games this season

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Total Touchdowns: 0 in 6 carries + targets, Oct 27, 2024 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 20%; 2 of 10
Price implies: 10%; at +900
Books’ fair: —; no Under posted
Carries + targets: 2.7; 10 games · 3.7 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price of the Over and how many sportsbooks price it. No Under is posted.
Line	Over	L10
	+9005 books	2/10
	+110004 books	0/10

Over only: sportsbooks post this as a yes bet (“1+ total touchdowns”), with no Under to take.

Compare 5 sportsbooks at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+1600Best
Bovada4 min ago	+1400
Bally Bet4 min ago	+900
betPARX4 min ago	+900
BetRivers4 min ago	+900

Prices as of 1:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: +1000 → +900 since first seen