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Ladd McConkey

Los Angeles Chargers · WR · #15

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Receptions, typical price −1301 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightDefense vs wide receivers

    HOU allow 14.0 receptions a game to wide receivers: 3rd most of 32

    7 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 3 targets · 2026: 4 (6 games)

    Target share: 9% last 3 games · 13% over 6 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at LAR

  • Game lines

    LAC +4.5 · total 40.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    LAC's games this season closed at 44.9 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 3.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 at home).

  1. at KC, 2025-12-14: 2, missed, 3 targets
  2. at DAL, 2025-12-21: 4, cleared, 6 targets
  3. vs HOU, 2025-12-27: 1, missed, 2 targets
  4. at NE, 2026-01-11: 3, missed, 4 targets
  5. vs ARI, 2026-09-13: 5, cleared, 7 targets
  6. vs LV, 2026-09-20: 3, missed, 3 targets
  7. at BUF, 2026-09-27: 4, cleared, 5 targets
  8. at SEA, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 2 targets
  9. at KC, 2026-10-18: 1, missed, 1 targets
  10. at LAR, 2026-11-01: 4, cleared, 6 targets
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs HOU

Receptions: 1 in 2 targets, Dec 27, 2025 (home)

Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against HOU on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
2.7
−0.8 vs line
Median
3
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
57%
at −130
Books’ fair
53%
margin removed
Targets
3.9
10 games · 6.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 53%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−14001 book—7/10
−3301 book—6/10
−1301 book−1021 book4/10
+1741 book—1/10
+3501 book—0/10
+6401 book—0/10
+12001 book—0/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
FanDuel1 min ago−130Best−102Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

No move since first seen

Ladd McConkey's full game log and splits