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Ladd McConkey

Los Angeles Chargers · WR · #15

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
OverUnder48.5
Under 48.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1206 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 48.5

70%7 of 10L10

Under 48.5 Receiving Yards hit in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 at home).

  1. at KC, 2025-12-14: 20, hit, 3 targets
  2. at DAL, 2025-12-21: 43, hit, 6 targets
  3. vs HOU, 2025-12-27: 31, hit, 2 targets
  4. at NE, 2026-01-11: 32, hit, 4 targets
  5. vs ARI, 2026-09-13: 82, missed, 7 targets
  6. vs LV, 2026-09-20: 35, hit, 3 targets
  7. at BUF, 2026-09-27: 66, missed, 5 targets
  8. at SEA, 2026-10-04: 0, hit, 2 targets
  9. at KC, 2026-10-18: 17, hit, 1 targets
  10. at LAR, 2026-11-01: 86, missed, 6 targets
Under hitMissedThe 48.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0.4–91.8 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 48.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • SunDefense vs wide receivers

    HOU allow 195.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: the most of 32

    7 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 3 targets · 2026: 4 (6 games)

    Target share: 9% last 3 games · 13% over 6 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at LAR

  • Game lines

    LAC +4.5 · total 40.5 (6 sportsbooks)

    LAC's games this season closed at 44.9 on average (7 games)

Splits

Under 48.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs HOU

Receiving Yards: 31 in 2 targets, Dec 27, 2025 (home)

Under 48.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against HOU on record

L10 · Under 48.5

Average
41.2
−7.3 vs line
Median
33.5
−15 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
55%
at −120
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
51%
estimate · fair −104

Research, not a pick. At −108 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −104, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4701 book—3/10
−3201 book—3/10
−1824 books—6/10
−1206 books−1205 books7/10
−1144 books—7/10
+1334 books—7/10
+2051 book—8/10
Compare 6 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 48.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 48.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 48.5Under 48.5
Pinnacle11 min ago−122−108Best
FanDuel11 min ago−114−114
Bovada11 min ago−110Best−120
betPARX11 min ago−120−121
BetRivers11 min ago−120−121
Bally Bet11 min ago−120—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 10:25 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

48.5

47.5 → 48.5 since first seen

Ladd McConkey's full game log and splits