Kyler MurrayQuestionable

Minnesota Vikings · QB · #1

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +5501 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightCarries + targets
Last 3: 6.3 carries + targets · 2026: 4.8 (6 games) · up 31%
New team
6 games with MIN; before that, ARI
Over 0.5 with MIN: 0 of 6; his last 10 games before: 2 of 10
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 at DET
Game lines
MIN +3 · total 45.5 (7 sportsbooks)
MIN's games this season closed at 43.2 on average (7 games)

10%1 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 at home).

vs CAR, 2025-09-14: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets
at SF, 2025-09-21: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets
vs SEA, 2025-09-25: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
vs TEN, 2025-10-05: 1, cleared, 4 carries + targets
vs GB, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
at TB, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 2 carries + targets
vs MIA, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets
at NO, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 10 carries + targets
vs IND, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
at DET, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs BUF

Total Touchdowns: 0 in 5 carries + targets, Sep 8, 2024 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 10%; 1 of 10
Price implies: 15%; at +550
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 5.1; 10 games · 5.8 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	+5501 book	pick'em only	1/10
	+80001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+550Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:35 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over No move since first seen