Kyler MurrayQuestionable

Minnesota Vikings · QB · #1

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM

Over Under231.5

Over 231.5 Pass+Rush Yards, typical price −1151 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 231.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs CAR, 2025-09-14: 252, cleared, 32 attempts + carries
at SF, 2025-09-21: 196, missed, 41 attempts + carries
vs SEA, 2025-09-25: 241, cleared, 46 attempts + carries
vs TEN, 2025-10-05: 245, cleared, 35 attempts + carries
vs GB, 2026-09-13: 27, missed, 7 attempts + carries
at TB, 2026-09-27: 185, missed, 31 attempts + carries
vs MIA, 2026-10-04: 263, cleared, 43 attempts + carries
at NO, 2026-10-11: 280, cleared, 40 attempts + carries
vs IND, 2026-10-25: 189, missed, 29 attempts + carries
at DET, 2026-11-01: 245, cleared, 33 attempts + carries

ClearedMissedThe 231.5 linePass attempts + carries

What's different on Monday

Over 231.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
6 games with MIN; before that, ARI
Over 231.5 with MIN: 3 of 6; his last 10 games before: 8 of 10
Pass attempts + carries
Last 3: 34 attempts + carries · 2026: 30.5 (6 games)
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 at DET
Game lines
MIN +3 · total 45 (5 sportsbooks)
MIN's games this season closed at 43.2 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 231.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 231.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs BUF

Pass+Rush Yards: 219 in 36 attempts + carries, Sep 8, 2024 (away)

Over 231.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 231.5

Average: 212.3; −19.2 vs line
Median: 243; +11.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Pass attempts + carries: 33.7; 10 games · 38 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 231.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−1151 book	−1151 book	6/10

Compare 1 sportsbook at 231.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 231.5 Pass+Rush Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 231.5	Under 231.5
Bovada9 min ago	−115Best	−115Best

Prices as of 2:45 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

231.5

235.5 → 231.5 since first seen