Kyle Pitts Sr.
CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
What's different tonight
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightDefense vs tight ends
CIN allow 7.0 receptions a game to tight ends: 2nd most of 32
7 games
TonightTargets
Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2026: 4 (8 games) · up 43%
Target share: 19% last 3 games · 14% over 8 games this season
Quarterback
Michael Penix Jr. led ATL in passing in 6 of 8 games this season
Also led: Cooper Rush 2. Over 3.5 with Penix at quarterback: 10 of 18; with another ATL quarterback: 13 of 33
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at TB
Game log against Over 3.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Splits
Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against CIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 3
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 2.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 61%
- at −159
- Books’ fair
- 57%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 4.4
- 10 games · 6.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 57%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −16674 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −4004 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1595 books | +1223 books | 4/10 | |
| +1334 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2554 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +4504 books | — | 0/10 | |
| +8004 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −159Best | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −159Best | +108 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −159Best | — |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −162 | +122 |
| Bovada3 min ago | −165 | +125Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:53 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over −162 → −159 since first seen