Kyle Pitts Sr.

Atlanta Falcons · TE · #8

KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under37.5

Over 37.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1152 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Over 37.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

vs NO, 2026-01-04: 58, cleared, 9 targets
at PIT, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 1 targets
vs CAR, 2026-09-20: 15, missed, 3 targets
at GB, 2026-09-24: 5, missed, 2 targets
at NO, 2026-10-05: 47, cleared, 3 targets
vs BAL, 2026-10-11: 42, cleared, 6 targets
vs CHI, 2026-10-18: 60, cleared, 7 targets
vs SF, 2026-10-25: 22, missed, 5 targets
at TB, 2026-11-01: 6, missed, 5 targets
vs CIN, 2026-11-08: 23, missed, 5 targets

ClearedMissedThe 37.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 37.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Michael Penix Jr. led ATL in passing in 7 of 9 games this season
Also led: Cooper Rush 2. Over 37.5 with Penix at quarterback: 10 of 19; with another ATL quarterback: 15 of 32
Defense vs tight ends
KC allow 64.9 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 7th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 5 targets · 2026: 4.1 (9 games)
Target share: 17% last 3 games · 14% over 9 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs CIN

Splits

Over 37.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against KC in his last 10; Over 37.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs KC

Receiving Yards: 59 in 5 targets, Sep 22, 2024 (home)

Over 37.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against KC on record

L10 · Over 37.5

Average: 27.8; −9.7 vs line
Median: 22.5; −15 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Targets: 4.6; 10 games · 6.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 37.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2901 book	—	4/10
−2054 books	—	4/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	4/10
−1152 books	−1152 books	4/10
−1133 books	−1172 books	4/10
−1064 books	—	4/10
+1634 books	—	2/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 37.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 37.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 37.5	Under 37.5
FanDuel9 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Pinnacle10 min ago	−115	−115
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

37.5

−114 → −115 since first seen