Kirk Cousins

Minnesota Vikings · QB · #8

MIN @ GB · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price +1435 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs NO, 2026-01-04: 1, missed, 32 attempts
vs MIA, 2026-09-13: 3, cleared, 30 attempts
at LAC, 2026-09-20: 3, cleared, 29 attempts
at NO, 2026-09-27: 3, cleared, 33 attempts
vs KC, 2026-10-04: 2, cleared, 52 attempts
at NE, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 28 attempts
vs BUF, 2026-10-18: 2, cleared, 41 attempts
vs LAR, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 44 attempts
at NYJ, 2026-11-01: 3, cleared, 26 attempts
at SF, 2026-11-08: 1, missed, 32 attempts

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–4 passing tds.

What's different on Sunday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

All 7 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came before Cousins joined MIN. With MIN: Over 1.5 in no games.

SunNew team
Cousins's first game with MIN; before that, LV
his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Defense vs quarterbacks
GB allow 1.44 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 18th most of 32
9 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 34 attempts · 2026: 35 (9 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 9 vs BUF
Cousins sat the last game (Nov 9)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against GB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs GB

Passing TDs: 3 in 30 attempts, Sep 13 (home)

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.1; +0.6 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 41%; at +143
Books’ fair: 39%; margin removed
Our chance: 51%; estimate · fair −104

Research, not a pick. At +144 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −104, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4204 books	—	10/10
+1435 books	−1944 books	7/10
+5754 books	—	4/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel5 min ago	+144Best	−194
Bally Bet5 min ago	+143	—
betPARX5 min ago	+143	−190
Pinnacle6 min ago	+141	−189Best
BetRivers5 min ago	+140	−195
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +152 → +143 since first seen