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Kimani Vidal

Los Angeles Chargers · RB · #28

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
OverUnder28.5
Over 28.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1181 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 28.5

70%7 of 10L10

Over 28.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 2 at home).

  1. vs PHI, 2025-12-08: 104, cleared, 17 carries + targets
  2. at KC, 2025-12-14: 48, cleared, 13 carries + targets
  3. at DAL, 2025-12-21: 11, missed, 5 carries + targets
  4. at DEN, 2026-01-04: 10, missed, 4 carries + targets
  5. at NE, 2026-01-11: 51, cleared, 14 carries + targets
  6. at BUF, 2026-09-27: 20, missed, 4 carries + targets
  7. at SEA, 2026-10-04: 36, cleared, 8 carries + targets
  8. vs DEN, 2026-10-11: 56, cleared, 10 carries + targets
  9. at KC, 2026-10-18: 40, cleared, 11 carries + targets
  10. at LAR, 2026-11-01: 30, cleared, 10 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 28.5 lineCarries + targets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 7.6–64 rush+rec yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 28.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Justin Herbert led LAC in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 28.5 with Herbert at quarterback: 15 of 26; with another LAC quarterback: 0 of 1

  • Defense vs running backs

    HOU allow 111.6 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 26th most of 32

    7 games

  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 10.3 carries + targets · 2026: 8.6 (5 games)

    Target share: 9% last 3 games · 9% over 5 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at LAR

Splits

Over 28.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against HOU on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs HOU

Vidal didn't play the Dec 27, 2025 meeting

L10 · Over 28.5

Average
40.6
+12.1 vs line
Median
38
+9.5 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
54%
at −118
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Our chance
57%
estimate · fair −131

Research, not a pick. At −118 the price beats our fair −131, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1181 book−1101 book7/10
——6/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 28.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 28.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 28.5Under 28.5
FanDuel3 min ago−118Best−110Best
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:35 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

28.5

36.5 → 28.5 since first seen

Kimani Vidal's full game log and splits