Khalil Shakir
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
What's different tonight
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs wide receivers
MIN allow 10.0 receptions a game to wide receivers: 25th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 5 targets · 2026: 5.4 (7 games)
Target share: 17% last 3 games · 19% over 7 games this season
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL
Game lines
BUF −3 · total 45.5 (7 sportsbooks)
BUF's games this season closed at 51.9 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 3.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 5.2
- +1.7 vs line
- Median
- 4.5
- +1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 55%
- at −122
- Books’ fair
- 51%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 6.6
- 10 games · 6.4 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 51%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −11001 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −3001 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −1221 book | −1081 book | 7/10 | |
| +1821 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +3501 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +6401 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +11001 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel9 min ago | −122Best | −108Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:11 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over No move since first seen