Khalil Shakir

Buffalo Bills · WR · #10

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM

Over Under36.5

Over 36.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1135 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 36.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

vs PHI, 2025-12-28: 35, missed, 7 targets
at JAX, 2026-01-11: 82, cleared, 12 targets
at DEN, 2026-01-17: 75, cleared, 9 targets
at HOU, 2026-09-13: 50, cleared, 6 targets
vs DET, 2026-09-17: 38, cleared, 6 targets
vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 6, missed, 3 targets
vs NE, 2026-10-04: 82, cleared, 8 targets
at LAR, 2026-10-12: 80, cleared, 3 targets
at LV, 2026-10-18: 34, missed, 6 targets
vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 64, cleared, 6 targets

ClearedMissedThe 36.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Monday's game: a typical game lands 12.7–82.5 receiving yards.

What's different on Monday

Over 36.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs wide receivers
MIN allow 122.7 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 27th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 5 targets · 2026: 5.4 (7 games)
Target share: 17% last 3 games · 19% over 7 games this season
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL
Game lines
BUF −3 · total 44.5 (7 sportsbooks)
BUF's games this season closed at 51.9 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 36.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 36.5

Average: 54.6; +18.1 vs line
Median: 57; +20.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −113
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 59%; estimate · fair −142

Research, not a pick. At −112 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −142, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4204 books	—	9/10
−2601 book	—	9/10
−1804 books	—	9/10
−1135 books	−1174 books	7/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	7/10
+1085 books	−1151 book	6/10
+1884 books	—	6/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 36.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 36.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 36.5	Under 36.5
Bally Bet12 min ago	−112Best	—
betPARX13 min ago	−112Best	−117
BetRivers12 min ago	−113	−118
FanDuel12 min ago	−114	−114Best
Pinnacle13 min ago	−114	−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 10:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

36.5

−114 → −113 since first seen