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Kenny Gainwell

Tampa Bay Buccaneers · RB · #1

TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
OverUnder34.5
Over 34.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1144 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 34.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 34.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).

  1. vs BAL, 2026-01-04: 74, cleared, 14 carries + targets
  2. vs HOU, 2026-01-12: 46, cleared, 12 carries + targets
  3. at CIN, 2026-09-13: 18, missed, 6 carries + targets
  4. vs CLE, 2026-09-20: 15, missed, 6 carries + targets
  5. vs MIN, 2026-09-27: 10, missed, 8 carries + targets
  6. vs GB, 2026-10-04: 27, missed, 5 carries + targets
  7. at DAL, 2026-10-08: 28, missed, 8 carries + targets
  8. vs PIT, 2026-10-18: 24, missed, 3 carries + targets
  9. at CAR, 2026-10-25: 88, cleared, 14 carries + targets
  10. vs ATL, 2026-11-01: 140, cleared, 26 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 34.5 lineCarries + targets

What's different on Sunday

Over 34.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunCarries + targets

    Last 3: 14.3 carries + targets · 2026: 9.5 (8 games) · up 51%

    Target share: 4% last 2 games · 9% over 7 games this season

  • Quarterback

    Baker Mayfield led TB in passing in 5 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Jalon Daniels 3. Over 34.5 with Mayfield at quarterback: 2 of 5; with another TB quarterback: 0 of 3

  • New team

    8 games with TB; before that, PIT

    Over 34.5 with TB: 2 of 8; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10

  • Defense vs running backs

    CHI allow 104.6 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 27th most of 32

    8 games

Splits

Over 34.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CHI in his last 10; Over 34.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against CHI on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CHI

Rush+Rec Yards: 122 in 16 carries + targets, Nov 23, 2025 (away)

Over 34.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CHI on record

L10 · Over 34.5

Average
47
+12.5 vs line
Median
27.5
−7 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Carries + targets
10.2
10 games · 11.7 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 34.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2783 books—6/10
−1144 books−1153 books4/10
pick'em onlypick'em only4/10
−1101 book−1201 book4/10
+2503 books—3/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 34.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 34.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 34.5Under 34.5
Bally Bet3 min ago−113Best—
betPARX4 min ago−113Best−115
BetRivers4 min ago−114−117
FanDuel2 min ago−115−113Best

Prices as of 9:44 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

34.5

35.5 → 34.5 since first seen

Kenny Gainwell's full game log and splits