Kenneth Walker III

Kansas City Chiefs · RB · #9

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price −2101 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
7 games with KC; before that, SEA
Over 0.5 with KC: 4 of 7; his last 10 games before: 3 of 10
Carries + targets
Last 3: 22.3 carries + targets · 2026: 24.7 (7 games)
Target share: 13% last 3 games · 14% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN
Game lines
KC −9.5 · total 46.5 (5 sportsbooks)
KC's games this season closed at 44.1 on average (7 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs SF, 2026-01-17: 3, cleared, 22 carries + targets
vs LAR, 2026-01-25: 1, cleared, 23 carries + targets
at NE, 2026-02-08: 0, missed, 31 carries + targets
vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 2, cleared, 29 carries + targets
vs IND, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 34 carries + targets
at MIA, 2026-09-27: 2, cleared, 20 carries + targets
at LV, 2026-10-04: 2, cleared, 23 carries + targets
vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 2, cleared, 22 carries + targets
at SEA, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 19 carries + targets
at DEN, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 26 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYJ

Total Touchdowns: 0 in 19 carries + targets, Dec 1, 2024 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against NYJ on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 1.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 1.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 68%; at −210
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 24.9; 10 games · 16.7 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	−2101 book	pick'em only	6/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bovada10 min ago	−210Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −213 → −210 since first seen