Kenneth Walker III

Kansas City Chiefs · RB · #9

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under90.5

Under 90.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1146 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Under 90.5 Rushing Yards hit in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

vs SF, 2026-01-17: 116, missed, 19 carries
vs LAR, 2026-01-25: 62, hit, 19 carries
at NE, 2026-02-08: 135, missed, 27 carries
vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 173, missed, 23 carries
vs IND, 2026-09-20: 117, missed, 24 carries
at MIA, 2026-09-27: 70, hit, 18 carries
at LV, 2026-10-04: 177, missed, 22 carries
vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 128, missed, 19 carries
at SEA, 2026-10-25: 36, hit, 14 carries
at DEN, 2026-11-01: 69, hit, 21 carries

Under hitMissedThe 90.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 16.3–155.1 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 90.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
7 games with KC; before that, SEA
Under 90.5 with KC: 3 of 7; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Defense vs running backs
NYJ allow 104.8 rushing yards a game to running backs: 10th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 18 carries · 2026: 20.1 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN

Splits

Under 90.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ in his last 10; Under 90.5 hit in 1 of 1 against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYJ

Rushing Yards: 49 in 16 carries, Dec 1, 2024 (away)

Under 90.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against NYJ on record

L10 · Under 90.5

Average: 108.3; +17.8 vs line
Median: 116.5; +26 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 50%; estimate · fair −101

Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −101, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3454 books	—	3/10
−2004 books	—	4/10
−1214 books	pick'em only	4/10
−1156 books	−1145 books	4/10
+1304 books	—	4/10
+1954 books	—	4/10
+2903 books	—	6/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 90.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 90.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 90.5	Under 90.5
betPARX2 min ago	−115	−113Best
BetRivers2 min ago	−117	−114
FanDuel2 min ago	−114Best	−114
Pinnacle2 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bovada2 min ago	−115	−115
Bally Bet2 min ago	−115	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:44 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

90.5

No move since first seen