Kenneth Walker III

Kansas City Chiefs · RB · #9

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under19.5

Under 19.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1104 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Under 19.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs SF, 2026-01-17: 19, hit, 19 carries
vs LAR, 2026-01-25: 19, hit, 19 carries
at NE, 2026-02-08: 27, missed, 27 carries
vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 23, missed, 23 carries
vs IND, 2026-09-20: 24, missed, 24 carries
at MIA, 2026-09-27: 18, hit, 18 carries
at LV, 2026-10-04: 22, missed, 22 carries
vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 19, hit, 19 carries
at SEA, 2026-10-25: 14, hit, 14 carries
at DEN, 2026-11-01: 21, missed, 21 carries

Under hitMissedThe 19.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 11.5–21.8 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs running backs
NYJ allow 26.4 carries a game to running backs: 2nd most of 32
8 games
New team
7 games with KC; before that, SEA
Under 19.5 with KC: 3 of 7; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Carries
Last 3: 18 carries · 2026: 20.1 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN

Splits

Under 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ in his last 10; Under 19.5 hit in 1 of 1 against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYJ

Rushing Attempts: 16 in 16 carries, Dec 1, 2024 (away)

Under 19.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against NYJ on record

L10 · Under 19.5

Average: 20.6; +1.1 vs line
Median: 20; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 52%; at −110
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −128

Research, not a pick. At −108 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −128, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5003 books	—	1/10
−2353 books	—	1/10
−1204 books	−1102 books	5/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	5/10
+1603 books	—	6/10
+3003 books	—	8/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 19.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 19.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 19.5	Under 19.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	−122	−108Best
betPARX4 min ago	−118Best	−110
Bally Bet4 min ago	−118Best	—
BetRivers4 min ago	−120	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 11:14 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

19.5

−106 → −110 since first seen