Kenneth Walker III

Kansas City Chiefs · RB · #9

KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under18.5

Over 18.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1143 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 18.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

vs LAR, 2026-01-25: 49, cleared, 4 targets
at NE, 2026-02-08: 26, cleared, 4 targets
vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 18, missed, 6 targets
vs IND, 2026-09-20: 61, cleared, 10 targets
at MIA, 2026-09-27: 3, missed, 2 targets
at LV, 2026-10-04: 2, missed, 1 targets
vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 11, missed, 3 targets
at SEA, 2026-10-25: 21, cleared, 5 targets
at DEN, 2026-11-01: 15, missed, 5 targets
vs NYJ, 2026-11-08: 41, cleared, 4 targets

ClearedMissedThe 18.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 18.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes: Questionable. He led KC in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 18.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: 3 of 8; with another KC quarterback: no games
New team
8 games with KC; before that, SEA
Over 18.5 with KC: 3 of 8; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Defense vs running backs
ATL allow 32.2 receiving yards a game to running backs: 17th most of 32
9 games
Targets
Last 3: 4.7 targets · 2026: 4.5 (8 games)
Target share: 13% last 3 games · 14% over 8 games this season

Splits

Over 18.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Over 18.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs ATL

Receiving Yards: -1 in 3 targets, Dec 7, 2025 (away)

Over 18.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 18.5

Average: 24.7; +6.2 vs line
Median: 19.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Targets: 4.4; 10 games · 2.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 18.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7501 book	—	8/10
−4004 books	—	8/10
−1741 book	—	7/10
−1143 books	−1143 books	5/10
−1244 books	pick'em only	5/10
−1133 books	−1172 books	5/10
+1481 book	—	4/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 18.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 18.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 18.5	Under 18.5
FanDuel13 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Pinnacle13 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Bovada13 min ago	−115	−115
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

18.5

20.5 → 18.5 since first seen