Kenneth Walker III

Kansas City Chiefs · RB · #9

NYJ @ KC · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under16.5

Over 16.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1201 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 16.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs SF, 2026-01-17: 29, cleared, 3 targets
vs LAR, 2026-01-25: 49, cleared, 4 targets
at NE, 2026-02-08: 26, cleared, 4 targets
vs DEN, 2026-09-14: 18, cleared, 6 targets
vs IND, 2026-09-20: 61, cleared, 10 targets
at MIA, 2026-09-27: 3, missed, 2 targets
at LV, 2026-10-04: 2, missed, 1 targets
vs LAC, 2026-10-18: 11, missed, 3 targets
at SEA, 2026-10-25: 21, cleared, 5 targets
at DEN, 2026-11-01: 15, missed, 5 targets

ClearedMissedThe 16.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 16.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
7 games with KC; before that, SEA
Over 16.5 with KC: 3 of 7; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Defense vs running backs
NYJ allow 26.9 receiving yards a game to running backs: 24th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 4.3 targets · 2026: 4.6 (7 games)
Target share: 13% last 3 games · 14% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at DEN

Splits

Over 16.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ in his last 10; Over 16.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYJ

Receiving Yards: -3 in 3 targets, Dec 1, 2024 (away)

Over 16.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against NYJ on record

L10 · Over 16.5

Average: 23.5; +7 vs line
Median: 19.5; +3 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Targets: 4.3; 10 games · 2.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 16.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6501 book	—	8/10
−2954 books	—	8/10
−1542 books	−1151 book	7/10
−1201 book	−1101 book	6/10
−1144 books	−1143 books	6/10
+1084 books	—	5/10
+1621 book	—	4/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 16.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 16.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 16.5	Under 16.5
Bovada4 min ago	−120Best	−110Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:55 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

16.5

−114 → −120 since first seen