Keenan Allen

Indianapolis Colts · WR · #10

DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under49.5

Under 49.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1253 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Under 49.5 Receiving Yards hit in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

vs HOU, 2025-12-27: 17, hit, 3 targets
at DEN, 2026-01-04: 36, hit, 13 targets
at NE, 2026-01-11: 25, hit, 8 targets
vs BAL, 2026-09-13: 32, hit, 6 targets
at KC, 2026-09-20: 5, hit, 5 targets
vs HOU, 2026-09-27: 63, missed, 9 targets
at PIT, 2026-10-11: 45, hit, 9 targets
vs TEN, 2026-10-18: 82, missed, 11 targets
at MIN, 2026-10-25: 31, hit, 3 targets
at JAX, 2026-11-01: 67, missed, 7 targets

Under hitMissedThe 49.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 13.1–80.3 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 49.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
7 games with IND; before that, LAC
Under 49.5 with IND: 4 of 7; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Defense vs wide receivers
DAL allow 164.1 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 7th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 7 targets · 2026: 7.1 (7 games)
Target share: 22% last 3 games · 21% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at JAX

Splits

Under 49.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL in his last 10; Under 49.5 hit in 1 of 1 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs DAL

Receiving Yards: 44 in 5 targets, Dec 21, 2025 (away)

Under 49.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against DAL on record

L10 · Under 49.5

Average: 40.3; −9.2 vs line
Median: 34; −15.5 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 56%; at −125
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Our chance: 53%; estimate · fair −111

Research, not a pick. At −125 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −111, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1903 books	—	6/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	7/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	7/10
−1153 books	−1252 books	7/10
+1353 books	—	7/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 49.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 49.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 49.5	Under 49.5
betPARX9 min ago	−115Best	−125Best
BetRivers9 min ago	−115Best	−125Best
Bally Bet9 min ago	−115Best	—

Prices as of 1:51 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

49.5

50.5 → 49.5 since first seen