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KC Concepcion

Cleveland Browns · WR · #1

CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +2701 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 8.3 carries + targets · 2026: 7.3 (8 games)

    Target share: 19% last 3 games · 19% over 8 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at PIT

    3rd straight road game

  • Game lines

    CLE +1.5 · total 43 (7 sportsbooks)

    CLE's games this season closed at 39.6 on average (8 games)

  • NO injuries

    Justin Reid (S, Questionable, 4.9 tackles); Nathan Shepherd (DT, Questionable, 3 tackles)

    A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Game log against Over 0.5

0%0 of 8L8

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 0 of his last 8 games (0 of 5 on the road).

  1. at JAX, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets
  2. at TB, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets
  3. vs CAR, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 9 carries + targets
  4. vs PIT, 2026-10-01: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets
  5. at NYJ, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 1 carries + targets
  6. vs BAL, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets
  7. at TEN, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 13 carries + targets
  8. at PIT, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

No game against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L8 · Over 0.5

Average
0
−0.5 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
0%
0 of 8
Price implies
27%
at +270
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
7.3
8 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L8
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL8
+2701 bookpick'em only0/8
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
Bovada4 min ago+270Best—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:41 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +285 → +270 since first seen

KC Concepcion's full game log and splits