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KC Concepcion

Cleveland Browns · WR · #1

CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder4.5
—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs wide receivers

    NO allow 10.6 receptions a game to wide receivers: 21st most of 32

    7 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 6.7 targets · 2026: 6.1 (8 games)

    Target share: 19% last 3 games · 19% over 8 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at PIT

    3rd straight road game

  • Game lines

    CLE +1.5 · total 43 (8 sportsbooks)

    CLE's games this season closed at 39.6 on average (8 games)

Game log against Over 4.5

38%3 of 8L8

Over 4.5 Receptions cleared in 3 of his last 8 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. at JAX, 2026-09-13: 4, missed, 5 targets
  2. at TB, 2026-09-20: 6, cleared, 6 targets
  3. vs CAR, 2026-09-27: 2, missed, 9 targets
  4. vs PIT, 2026-10-01: 5, cleared, 8 targets
  5. at NYJ, 2026-10-11: 1, missed, 1 targets
  6. vs BAL, 2026-10-18: 4, missed, 6 targets
  7. at TEN, 2026-10-25: 8, cleared, 10 targets
  8. at PIT, 2026-11-01: 3, missed, 4 targets
ClearedMissedThe 4.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 4.5 · L8 · counts, not in order

No game against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L8 · Over 4.5

Average
4.1
−0.4 vs line
Median
4
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
38%
3 of 8
Price implies
—
1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
6.1
8 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L8
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL8
pick'em onlypick'em only3/8
Compare 1 pick'em app at 4.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 4.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 4.5Under 4.5
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:25 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

4.5

3.5 → 4.5 since we started recording it

KC Concepcion's full game log and splits