KC Concepcion
CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 49.5
25%2 of 8L8
Over 49.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 2 of his last 8 games (1 of 5 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 49.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Deshaun Watson: Questionable (concussion). He led CLE in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 49.5 with Watson at quarterback: 2 of 8; with another CLE quarterback: no games
Defense vs wide receivers
NO allow 143.6 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 17th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 6.7 targets · 2026: 6.1 (8 games)
Target share: 19% last 3 games · 19% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at PIT
3rd straight road game
Splits
Over 49.5 · L8 · counts, not in orderNo game against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L8 · Over 49.5
- Average
- 44
- −5.5 vs line
- Median
- 37
- −12.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 25%
- 2 of 8
- Price implies
- 49%
- at +106
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 6.1
- 8 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L8| Line | Over | Under | L8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 3/8 | |
| −1141 book | −1141 book | 2/8 | |
| −1183 books | −1222 books | 2/8 | |
| +1064 books | — | 2/8 | |
| +1654 books | — | 2/8 | |
| +2901 book | — | 1/8 | |
| +4301 book | — | 1/8 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 49.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 49.5 | Under 49.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel5 min ago | +120Best | — |
| Bally Bet6 min ago | +106 | — |
| betPARX6 min ago | +106 | — |
| BetRivers6 min ago | +106 | — |
Prices as of 7:30 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
49.543.5 → 49.5 since first seen