Juwan Johnson

New Orleans Saints · TE · #83

CAR @ NO · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under21.5

Over 21.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 21.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

at TEN, 2025-12-28: 95, cleared, 4 targets
at ATL, 2026-01-04: 61, cleared, 5 targets
at DET, 2026-09-13: 54, cleared, 7 targets
at BAL, 2026-09-20: 66, cleared, 4 targets
vs LV, 2026-09-27: 53, cleared, 8 targets
vs ATL, 2026-10-05: 59, cleared, 8 targets
vs MIN, 2026-10-11: 16, missed, 5 targets
at NYG, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 2 targets
vs PIT, 2026-10-25: 7, missed, 3 targets
vs CLE, 2026-11-08: 34, cleared, 2 targets

ClearedMissedThe 21.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 21.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunTargets
Last 3: 2.3 targets · 2026: 4.9 (8 games) · down 53%
Target share: 7% last 3 games · 13% over 8 games this season
Quarterback
Tyler Shough led NO in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 21.5 with Shough at quarterback: 15 of 18; with another NO quarterback: 22 of 30
Defense vs tight ends
CAR allow 47.4 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 22nd most of 32
8 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs CLE

Splits

Over 21.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 21.5 cleared in 4 of 5 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Receiving Yards: 30 in 4 targets, Dec 14, 2025 (home)

Over 21.5 hit in 4 of 5 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 21.5

Average: 44.5; +23 vs line
Median: 53.5; +32 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Targets: 4.8; 10 games · 6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 21.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1483 books	—	7/10
−1142 books	−1162 books	7/10
−1183 books	−1242 books	7/10
+1353 books	—	7/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 21.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 21.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 21.5	Under 21.5
FanDuel14 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Pinnacle15 min ago	−114Best	−116
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

21.5

22.5 → 21.5 since first seen