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Justin Herbert

Los Angeles Chargers · QB · #10

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
OverUnder22.5
Over 22.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Over 22.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunDefense vs quarterbacks

    HOU allow 7.4 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 30th most of 32

    7 games

  • Carries

    Last 3: 5 carries · 2026: 4.7 (7 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at LAR

  • Game lines

    LAC +4.5 · total 40.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    LAC's games this season closed at 44.9 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 22.5

70%7 of 10L10

Over 22.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

  1. at DAL, 2025-12-21: 42, cleared, 8 carries
  2. vs HOU, 2025-12-27: 37, cleared, 6 carries
  3. at NE, 2026-01-11: 57, cleared, 10 carries
  4. vs ARI, 2026-09-13: 29, cleared, 5 carries
  5. vs LV, 2026-09-20: 2, missed, 3 carries
  6. at BUF, 2026-09-27: 17, missed, 4 carries
  7. at SEA, 2026-10-04: 40, cleared, 6 carries
  8. vs DEN, 2026-10-11: 54, cleared, 6 carries
  9. at KC, 2026-10-18: 26, cleared, 5 carries
  10. at LAR, 2026-11-01: 15, missed, 4 carries
ClearedMissedThe 22.5 lineCarries

Splits

Over 22.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs HOU

Rushing Yards: 37 in 6 carries, Dec 27, 2025 (home)

Over 22.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against HOU on record

L10 · Over 22.5

Average
31.9
+9.4 vs line
Median
33
+10.5 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Carries
5.7
10 games · 5.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 22.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−6001 book—9/10
−2801 book—9/10
−1581 book—7/10
−1142 books−1142 books7/10
pick'em onlypick'em only7/10
+1061 book—7/10
+1681 book—5/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 22.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 22.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 22.5Under 22.5
FanDuel7 min ago−114Best−114Best
Pinnacle8 min ago−114Best−114Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:20 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

22.5

No move since first seen

Justin Herbert's full game log and splits