Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

GameSearch teams, players, games/

Justin Herbert

Los Angeles Chargers · QB · #10

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
OverUnder208.5
Under 208.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1215 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 208.5

50%5 of 10L10

Under 208.5 Passing Yards hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

  1. at DAL, 2025-12-21: 300, missed, 29 attempts
  2. vs HOU, 2025-12-27: 236, missed, 32 attempts
  3. at NE, 2026-01-11: 159, hit, 31 attempts
  4. vs ARI, 2026-09-13: 209, missed, 27 attempts
  5. vs LV, 2026-09-20: 192, hit, 27 attempts
  6. at BUF, 2026-09-27: 226, missed, 34 attempts
  7. at SEA, 2026-10-04: 189, hit, 31 attempts
  8. vs DEN, 2026-10-11: 121, hit, 24 attempts
  9. at KC, 2026-10-18: 204, hit, 37 attempts
  10. at LAR, 2026-11-01: 257, missed, 32 attempts
Under hitMissedThe 208.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 152.2–267.5 passing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 208.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    HOU allow 262.7 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 4th most of 32

    7 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 31 attempts · 2026: 30.3 (7 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at LAR

  • Game lines

    LAC +4.5 · total 40.5 (9 sportsbooks)

    LAC's games this season closed at 44.9 on average (7 games)

Splits

Under 208.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs HOU

Passing Yards: 236 in 32 attempts, Dec 27, 2025 (home)

Under 208.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against HOU on record

L10 · Under 208.5

Average
209.3
+0.8 vs line
Median
206.5
−2 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
55%
at −121
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Our chance
51%
estimate · fair −105

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −105, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1524 books—4/10
——4/10
pick'em onlypick'em only5/10
−1205 books−1214 books5/10
+1254 books—6/10
+2301 book—8/10
+4001 book—9/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 208.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 208.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 208.5Under 208.5
FanDuel2 min ago−114Best−114Best
Pinnacle3 min ago−114Best−114Best
betPARX3 min ago−120−121
BetRivers3 min ago−120−121
Bally Bet3 min ago−120—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:01 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

208.5

203.5 → 208.5 since first seen

Justin Herbert's full game log and splits