Justin Herbert
HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
What's different tonight
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
HOU allow 1.43 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 14th most of 32
7 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 31 attempts · 2026: 30.3 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at LAR
Game lines
LAC +4.5 · total 40.5 (7 sportsbooks)
LAC's games this season closed at 44.9 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 1.5
10%1 of 10L10
Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (0 of 4 at home).
Splits
Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs HOU
Passing TDs: 1 in 32 attempts, Dec 27, 2025 (home)
Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against HOU on record
L10 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 0.8
- −0.7 vs line
- Median
- 1
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 10%
- 1 of 10
- Price implies
- 35%
- at +188
- Books’ fair
- 32%
- margin removed
- Pass attempts
- 30.4
- 10 games · 31.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 32%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2922 books | +2001 book | 7/10 | |
| +1881 book | −2601 book | 1/10 | |
| +7501 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | +188Best | −260Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 4:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5+194 → +188 since first seen