Are you 21 or older?

dane.bet is sports betting research for adults 21 and older. It is information only, not a sportsbook: we take no bets.

Gambling problem? Call or text 1-800-GAMBLER.

GameSearch teams, players, games/

Justin Herbert

Los Angeles Chargers · QB · #10

HOU @ LAC · Sun, Nov 8 4:05 PM
OverUnder17.5
Over 17.5 Completions, typical price −1251 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different on Sunday

Over 17.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    HOU allow 23.3 completions a game to quarterbacks: 6th most of 32

    7 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 31 attempts · 2026: 30.3 (7 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at LAR

  • Game lines

    LAC +4.5 · total 40.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    LAC's games this season closed at 44.9 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 17.5

70%7 of 10L10

Over 17.5 Completions cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

  1. at DAL, 2025-12-21: 23, cleared, 29 attempts
  2. vs HOU, 2025-12-27: 21, cleared, 32 attempts
  3. at NE, 2026-01-11: 19, cleared, 31 attempts
  4. vs ARI, 2026-09-13: 17, missed, 27 attempts
  5. vs LV, 2026-09-20: 15, missed, 27 attempts
  6. at BUF, 2026-09-27: 20, cleared, 34 attempts
  7. at SEA, 2026-10-04: 19, cleared, 31 attempts
  8. vs DEN, 2026-10-11: 14, missed, 24 attempts
  9. at KC, 2026-10-18: 22, cleared, 37 attempts
  10. at LAR, 2026-11-01: 24, cleared, 32 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 17.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 13.7–26.5 completions.

Splits

Over 17.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs HOU

Completions: 21 in 32 attempts, Dec 27, 2025 (home)

Over 17.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against HOU on record

L10 · Over 17.5

Average
19.4
+1.9 vs line
Median
19.5
+2 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
56%
at −125
Books’ fair
52%
margin removed
Our chance
59%
estimate · fair −145

Research, not a pick. At −125 the price beats our fair −145, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1251 book−1051 book7/10
−1121 book−1181 book7/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 17.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 17.5 Completions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 17.5Under 17.5
Bovada11 min ago−125Best−105Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 3:08 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

17.5

18.5 → 17.5 since first seen

Justin Herbert's full game log and splits