Justice Hill

Baltimore Ravens · RB · #43

LAC @ BAL · Mon, Nov 16 8:15 PM

Over Under11.5

Over 11.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1205 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 11.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

at MIA, 2025-10-30: 13, cleared, 2 targets
at MIN, 2025-11-09: 12, cleared, 2 targets
at IND, 2026-09-13: 10, missed, 1 targets
vs NO, 2026-09-20: 12, cleared, 2 targets
vs TEN, 2026-10-04: 22, cleared, 3 targets
at ATL, 2026-10-11: 5, missed, 4 targets
at CLE, 2026-10-18: 9, missed, 3 targets
vs CIN, 2026-10-25: 26, cleared, 4 targets
at BUF, 2026-11-01: 20, cleared, 8 targets
vs JAX, 2026-11-05: 7, missed, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 11.5 lineTargets

What's different on Monday

Over 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

MonQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Injured Reserve (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 9 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Injured Reserve, toe); Joe Fagnano 2 (led the last game). Over 11.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 21 of 34; with another BAL quarterback: 4 of 8
MonTargets
Last 3: 5 targets · 2026: 3.5 (8 games) · up 43%
Target share: 19% last 3 games · 12% over 8 games this season
Defense vs running backs
LAC allow 21.5 receiving yards a game to running backs: 27th most of 32
8 games
Rest
10 days off since Nov 5 vs JAX

Splits

Over 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAC in his last 10; Over 11.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against LAC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs LAC

Receiving Yards: 7 in 2 targets, Nov 25, 2024 (away)

Over 11.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against LAC on record

L10 · Over 11.5

Average: 13.6; +2.1 vs line
Median: 12; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 51%; margin removed
Targets: 3.2; 10 games · 3.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 11.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3201 book	—	10/10
−1554 books	—	7/10
−1205 books	−1144 books	6/10
—	—	4/10
+1241 book	—	3/10
+2004 books	—	3/10
+3101 book	—	1/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 11.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 11.5	Under 11.5
FanDuel6 min ago	−114Best	−114
Pinnacle7 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet7 min ago	−120	—
betPARX7 min ago	−120	−109Best
BetRivers7 min ago	−120	−110
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

−114 → −120 since first seen