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Josh Jacobs

Green Bay Packers · RB · #8

GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Receptions, typical price −1135 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TonightTargets

    Last 3: 5.3 targets · 2025: 3.1 (15 games) · up 71%

    Target share: 12% last 3 games · 10% over 15 games this season

  • Quarterback

    Jordan Love led GB in passing in 8 of 8 games this season

    Over 3.5 with Love at quarterback: 13 of 29; with another GB quarterback: 0 of 3

  • Defense vs running backs

    NE allow 3.9 receptions a game to running backs: 21st most of 32

    8 games

  • Rest

    9 days off since Oct 29 vs CAR

Game log against Over 3.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 on the road).

  1. vs PHI, 2025-11-10: 5, cleared, 6 targets
  2. at NYG, 2025-11-16: 0, missed, 1 targets
  3. at DET, 2025-11-27: 1, missed, 1 targets
  4. vs CHI, 2025-12-07: 2, missed, 2 targets
  5. at DEN, 2025-12-14: 2, missed, 3 targets
  6. at CHI, 2025-12-20: 2, missed, 2 targets
  7. vs BAL, 2025-12-27: 1, missed, 1 targets
  8. at CHI, 2026-01-10: 1, missed, 3 targets
  9. at DET, 2026-10-25: 5, cleared, 7 targets
  10. vs CAR, 2026-10-29: 6, cleared, 6 targets
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
2.5
−1 vs line
Median
2
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −113
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Targets
3.2
10 games · 3.1 in 2024

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 51%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−11154 books—6/10
−2864 books—3/10
−1135 books−1103 books3/10
+1904 books—3/10
+3804 books—1/10
+8004 books—0/10
+9201 book—0/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
Bally Bet9 min ago−113Best—
betPARX9 min ago−113Best−115
BetRivers9 min ago−113Best—
Bovada8 min ago−120−110
FanDuel8 min ago−128−104Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 6:55 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over −110 → −113 since first seen

Josh Jacobs's full game log and splits