Josh Cameron
JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
What's different tonight
Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week
Defense vs wide receivers
BAL allow 12.8 receptions a game to wide receivers: 7th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 3 targets · 2026: 2.6 (5 games)
Target share: 11% last 3 games · 10% over 5 games this season
Game lines
JAX −9.5 · total 40.5 (6 sportsbooks)
JAX's games this season closed at 44.8 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 1.5
60%3 of 5L5
Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 3 of his last 5 games (1 of 1 on the road).
Splits
Over 1.5 · L5 · counts, not in orderNo game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L5 · Over 1.5
- Average
- 1.6
- +0.1 vs line
- Median
- 2
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 3 of 5
- Price implies
- 44%
- at +125
- Books’ fair
- 42%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 2.6
- 5 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 42%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L5| Line | Over | Under | L5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4201 book | — | 4/5 | |
| +1252 books | −1652 books | 3/5 | |
| +3501 book | — | 1/5 | |
| +8501 book | — | 0/5 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada9 min ago | +130Best | −170 |
| FanDuel6 min ago | +120 | −160Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
1.5Over −136 → +125 since first seen