Jordan Mason
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PMGame log against Over 49.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 49.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).
What's different on Monday
Over 49.5 · facts from past games, not a pickMonBack from an absence
Monday's game is his 3rd back after missing 4 games in a row (Sep 20 – Oct 11)
Over 49.5 since: 1 of 2
Quarterback
Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 49.5 with Murray at quarterback: 1 of 2; with another MIN quarterback: 8 of 17
Defense vs running backs
BUF allow 81.4 rushing yards a game to running backs: 22nd most of 32
7 games
Carries
Last 3: 12.7 carries · 2025: 9.9 (16 games)
Splits
Over 49.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BUF in his last 10; Over 49.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs BUF
Rushing Yards: 78 in 13 carries, Dec 1, 2024 (away)
Over 49.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against BUF on record
L10 · Over 49.5
- Average
- 46.1
- −3.4 vs line
- Median
- 46
- −3.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −109
- Books’ fair
- 48%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 9.5
- 10 games · 9.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 49.5 48%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2204 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 4/10 | |
| −1173 books | −1132 books | 4/10 | |
| −1095 books | −1392 books | 4/10 | |
| −1123 books | −1182 books | 4/10 | |
| +1604 books | — | 2/10 | |
| +2704 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 49.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 49.5 | Under 49.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle3 min ago | +105Best | −139 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −109 | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −109 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −109 | — |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 1:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
49.5Over: −114 → −109 since first seen


