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Jordan Mason

Minnesota Vikings · RB · #27

MIN @ GB · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
OverUnder11.5
Under 11.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1273 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 11.5

70%7 of 10L10

Under 11.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 7 of his last 10 games (5 of 5 on the road).

  1. at GB, 2025-11-23: 8, hit, 8 carries
  2. at SEA, 2025-11-30: 6, hit, 6 carries
  3. vs WSH, 2025-12-07: 11, hit, 11 carries
  4. at DAL, 2025-12-14: 10, hit, 10 carries
  5. at NYG, 2025-12-21: 2, hit, 2 carries
  6. vs GB, 2026-01-04: 14, missed, 14 carries
  7. vs GB, 2026-09-13: 15, missed, 15 carries
  8. vs IND, 2026-10-25: 15, missed, 15 carries
  9. at DET, 2026-11-01: 8, hit, 8 carries
  10. vs BUF, 2026-11-09: 6, hit, 6 carries
Under hitMissedThe 11.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 3.9–15.6 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 11.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

1 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Kyler Murray at quarterback; Murray is out on Sunday. Without him (MIN): Under 11.5 in 11 of 18.

  • SunQuarterback

    Kyler Murray: Doubtful (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Carson Wentz 3 (Questionable, ankle, led the last game). Under 11.5 with Murray at quarterback: 1 of 2; with another MIN quarterback: 11 of 18

  • Back from an absence

    Sunday's game is his 4th back after missing 4 games in a row (Sep 20 – Oct 11)

    Under 11.5 since: 2 of 3

  • Defense vs running backs

    GB allow 22.7 carries a game to running backs: 16th most of 32

    9 games

  • Carries

    Last 3: 9.7 carries · 2026: 11 (4 games)

Splits

Under 11.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs GB

Rushing Attempts: 15 in 15 carries, Sep 13 (home)

Under 11.5 hit in 2 of 4 games against GB on record

L10 · Under 11.5

Average
9.5
−2 vs line
Median
9
−2.5 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
56%
at −127
Books’ fair
52%
margin removed
Our chance
58%
estimate · fair −140

Research, not a pick. At −127 the price beats our fair −140, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2503 books—5/10
−1033 books−1271 book7/10
+2153 books—7/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 11.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 11.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 11.5Under 11.5
betPARX6 min ago−103Best−127Best
Bally Bet6 min ago−103Best—
BetRivers6 min ago−103Best—
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

11.5

Under isn't priced at 11.5 right now.

Jordan Mason's full game log and splits