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Jordan Addison

Minnesota Vikings · WR · #3

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder3.5
Over 3.5 Receptions, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • Quarterback

    Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season

    Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 3.5 with Murray at quarterback: 2 of 4; with another MIN quarterback: 17 of 41

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    BUF allow 12.0 receptions a game to wide receivers: 10th most of 32

    7 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 5.7 targets · 2026: 5.5 (6 games)

    Target share: 19% last 3 games · 20% over 6 games this season

  • Rest

    7 days off since Nov 1 at DET

Game log against Over 3.5

20%2 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 at home).

  1. at DAL, 2025-12-14: 2, missed, 2 targets
  2. at NYG, 2025-12-21: 2, missed, 3 targets
  3. vs DET, 2025-12-25: 0, missed, 1 targets
  4. vs GB, 2026-01-04: 1, missed, 3 targets
  5. vs GB, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 2 targets
  6. at CHI, 2026-09-20: 2, missed, 5 targets
  7. at TB, 2026-09-27: 5, cleared, 9 targets
  8. vs MIA, 2026-10-04: 4, cleared, 6 targets
  9. vs IND, 2026-10-25: 2, missed, 3 targets
  10. at DET, 2026-11-01: 3, missed, 8 targets
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
2.1
−1.4 vs line
Median
2
−1.5 vs line
Hit rate
20%
2 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Targets
4.2
10 games · 5.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−10001 book—7/10
−2801 book—3/10
−1141 book−1141 book2/10
+1881 book—1/10
+3701 book—0/10
+6801 book—0/10
+12001 book—0/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
FanDuel2 min ago−114Best−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over No move since first seen

Jordan Addison's full game log and splits