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Jordan Addison

Minnesota Vikings · WR · #3

MIN @ GB · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
OverUnder42.5
Under 42.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1183 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 42.5

70%7 of 10L10

Under 42.5 Receiving Yards hit in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

  1. at NYG, 2025-12-21: 26, hit, 3 targets
  2. vs DET, 2025-12-25: 0, hit, 1 targets
  3. vs GB, 2026-01-04: 8, hit, 3 targets
  4. vs GB, 2026-09-13: 0, hit, 2 targets
  5. at CHI, 2026-09-20: 21, hit, 5 targets
  6. at TB, 2026-09-27: 90, missed, 9 targets
  7. vs MIA, 2026-10-04: 52, missed, 6 targets
  8. vs IND, 2026-10-25: 20, hit, 3 targets
  9. at DET, 2026-11-01: 66, missed, 8 targets
  10. vs BUF, 2026-11-09: 28, hit, 3 targets
Under hitMissedThe 42.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0.6–80.5 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 42.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

1 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came with Kyler Murray at quarterback; Murray is out on Sunday. Without him (MIN): Under 42.5 in 24 of 41.

  • SunQuarterback

    Kyler Murray: Doubtful (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Carson Wentz 3 (Questionable, ankle, led the last game). Under 42.5 with Murray at quarterback: 1 of 4; with another MIN quarterback: 24 of 41

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    GB allow 155.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 12th most of 32

    9 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 4.7 targets · 2026: 5.1 (7 games)

    Target share: 17% last 3 games · 19% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    5 days off since Nov 9 vs BUF

Splits

Under 42.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs GB

Receiving Yards: 0 in 2 targets, Sep 13 (home)

Under 42.5 hit in 4 of 6 games against GB on record

L10 · Under 42.5

Average
31.1
−11.4 vs line
Median
23.5
−19 vs line
Hit rate
70%
7 of 10
Price implies
54%
at −118
Books’ fair
51%
margin removed
Our chance
52%
estimate · fair −110

Research, not a pick. At −117 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −110, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1324 books—7/10
−1142 books−1142 books7/10
−1151 book−1151 book7/10
−1123 books−1182 books7/10
+1284 books—7/10
+2054 books—8/10
+3104 books—9/10
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 42.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 42.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 42.5Under 42.5
betPARX6 min ago−112Best−117Best
BetRivers6 min ago−113−118
Bally Bet6 min ago−112Best—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

42.5

40.5 → 42.5 since first seen

Jordan Addison's full game log and splits