John Metchie III

Carolina Panthers · WR · #13

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Receptions, typical price −1574 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

90%9 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 9 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

vs MIA, 2025-12-07: 4, cleared, 8 targets
at JAX, 2025-12-14: 4, cleared, 5 targets
at NO, 2025-12-21: 1, missed, 5 targets
vs NE, 2025-12-28: 3, cleared, 3 targets
at BUF, 2026-01-04: 3, cleared, 4 targets
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 2, cleared, 5 targets
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 3, cleared, 5 targets
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 2, cleared, 3 targets
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 4 targets
at GB, 2026-10-29: 3, cleared, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
5 games with CAR; before that, NYJ
Over 1.5 with CAR: 5 of 5; his last 10 games before: 8 of 10
Defense vs wide receivers
DEN allow 10.8 receptions a game to wide receivers: 16th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 3.3 targets · 2026: 4 (5 games)
Target share: 9% last 3 games · 10% over 5 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DEN in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs DEN

Receptions: 1 in 3 targets, Dec 3, 2023 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against DEN on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 2.7; +1.2 vs line
Median: 3; +1.5 vs line
Hit rate: 90%; 9 of 10
Price implies: 61%; at −157
Books’ fair: 57%; margin removed
Targets: 4.5; 10 games · 4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 57%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−8353 books	—	10/10
−1574 books	+1182 books	9/10
+1903 books	—	6/10
+5003 books	—	2/10
+12003 books	—	0/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
Bally Bet2 min ago	−157Best	—
betPARX2 min ago	−157Best	+120Best
BetRivers4 min ago	−157Best	—
FanDuel2 min ago	−158	+118
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:25 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −158 → −157 since first seen