John Metchie III

Carolina Panthers · WR · #13

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under15.5

Over 15.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1174 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 15.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

vs MIA, 2025-12-07: 34, cleared, 8 targets
at JAX, 2025-12-14: 25, cleared, 5 targets
at NO, 2025-12-21: 4, missed, 5 targets
vs NE, 2025-12-28: 41, cleared, 3 targets
at BUF, 2026-01-04: 20, cleared, 4 targets
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 19, cleared, 5 targets
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 37, cleared, 5 targets
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 24, cleared, 3 targets
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 20, cleared, 4 targets
at GB, 2026-10-29: 14, missed, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 15.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 15.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
5 games with CAR; before that, NYJ
Over 15.5 with CAR: 4 of 5; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Defense vs wide receivers
DEN allow 130.1 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 24th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 3.3 targets · 2026: 4 (5 games)
Target share: 9% last 3 games · 10% over 5 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB

Splits

Over 15.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DEN in his last 10; Over 15.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs DEN

Receiving Yards: 9 in 3 targets, Dec 3, 2023 (home)

Over 15.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against DEN on record

L10 · Over 15.5

Average: 23.8; +8.3 vs line
Median: 22; +6.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Targets: 4.5; 10 games · 4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 15.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2203 books	—	9/10
−1174 books	−1123 books	8/10
+1203 books	—	7/10
+2403 books	—	3/10
+4403 books	—	1/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 15.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 15.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 15.5	Under 15.5
FanDuel2 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet5 min ago	−117	—
betPARX1 min ago	−117	−110Best
BetRivers3 min ago	−118	−112
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 12:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

15.5

−114 → −117 since first seen