John Metchie III

Carolina Panthers · WR · #13

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under14.5

Over 14.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1144 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

80%8 of 10L10

Over 14.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (4 of 4 at home).

vs MIA, 2025-12-07: 34, cleared, 8 targets
at JAX, 2025-12-14: 25, cleared, 5 targets
at NO, 2025-12-21: 4, missed, 5 targets
vs NE, 2025-12-28: 41, cleared, 3 targets
at BUF, 2026-01-04: 20, cleared, 4 targets
at CLE, 2026-09-27: 19, cleared, 5 targets
vs DET, 2026-10-04: 37, cleared, 5 targets
at PHI, 2026-10-18: 24, cleared, 3 targets
vs TB, 2026-10-25: 20, cleared, 4 targets
at GB, 2026-10-29: 14, missed, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 14.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 14.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

New team
5 games with CAR; before that, NYJ
Over 14.5 with CAR: 4 of 5; his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Defense vs wide receivers
DEN allow 130.1 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 24th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 3.3 targets · 2026: 4 (5 games)
Target share: 9% last 3 games · 10% over 5 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Oct 29 at GB

Splits

Over 14.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DEN in his last 10; Over 14.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against DEN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs DEN

Receiving Yards: 9 in 3 targets, Dec 3, 2023 (home)

Over 14.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against DEN on record

L10 · Over 14.5

Average: 23.8; +9.3 vs line
Median: 22; +7.5 vs line
Hit rate: 80%; 8 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Targets: 4.5; 10 games · 4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 14.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1903 books	—	9/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	9/10
−1144 books	−1153 books	8/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	8/10
+1353 books	—	7/10
+2703 books	—	3/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 14.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 14.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 14.5	Under 14.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	−113Best	—
betPARX2 min ago	−113Best	−115
BetRivers3 min ago	−114	−117
Bovada6 min ago	−120	−110Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

14.5

15.5 → 14.5 since first seen