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Joe Burrow

Cincinnati Bengals · QB · #9

CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
OverUnder2.5
Over 2.5 Passing TDs, typical price +1635 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    ATL allow 1.38 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 17th most of 32

    8 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 36.7 attempts · 2026: 38.1 (7 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs TEN

  • Game lines

    CIN −3 · total 52.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    CIN's games this season closed at 46.8 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 2.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 2.5 Passing TDs cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

  1. at MIA, 2025-12-21: 4, cleared, 32 attempts
  2. vs ARI, 2025-12-28: 2, missed, 31 attempts
  3. vs CLE, 2026-01-04: 3, cleared, 39 attempts
  4. vs TB, 2026-09-13: 1, missed, 35 attempts
  5. at HOU, 2026-09-20: 2, missed, 31 attempts
  6. at PIT, 2026-09-27: 3, cleared, 37 attempts
  7. vs JAX, 2026-10-04: 1, missed, 54 attempts
  8. at MIA, 2026-10-11: 4, cleared, 32 attempts
  9. at BAL, 2026-10-25: 4, cleared, 30 attempts
  10. vs TEN, 2026-11-01: 5, cleared, 48 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 2.5 linePass attempts

Splits

Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 2.5

Average
2.9
+0.4 vs line
Median
3
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
38%
at +163
Books’ fair
39%
margin removed
Pass attempts
36.9
10 games · 32.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 39%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2354 books+1552 books8/10
pick'em onlypick'em only6/10
+1635 books−1862 books6/10
+4804 books—4/10
+12801 book—1/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 2.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 2.5Under 2.5
Bally Bet9 min ago+163Best—
betPARX9 min ago+163Best—
BetRivers9 min ago+163Best—
Bovada8 min ago+140−185Best
FanDuel8 min ago+140−188
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

2.5

Over +152 → +163 since first seen

Joe Burrow's full game log and splits