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Joe Burrow

Cincinnati Bengals · QB · #9

CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
OverUnder35.5
Under 35.5 Passing Attempts, typical price −1184 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Under 35.5

60%6 of 10L10

Under 35.5 Passing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).

  1. at MIA, 2025-12-21: 32, hit, 32 attempts
  2. vs ARI, 2025-12-28: 31, hit, 31 attempts
  3. vs CLE, 2026-01-04: 39, missed, 39 attempts
  4. vs TB, 2026-09-13: 35, hit, 35 attempts
  5. at HOU, 2026-09-20: 31, hit, 31 attempts
  6. at PIT, 2026-09-27: 37, missed, 37 attempts
  7. vs JAX, 2026-10-04: 54, missed, 54 attempts
  8. at MIA, 2026-10-11: 32, hit, 32 attempts
  9. at BAL, 2026-10-25: 30, hit, 30 attempts
  10. vs TEN, 2026-11-01: 48, missed, 48 attempts
Under hitMissedThe 35.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 23.9–47.6 passing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Under 35.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    ATL allow 36.0 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 4th most of 32

    8 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 36.7 attempts · 2026: 38.1 (7 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs TEN

  • Game lines

    CIN −3 · total 52.5 (9 sportsbooks)

    CIN's games this season closed at 46.8 on average (7 games)

Splits

Under 35.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 35.5

Average
36.9
+1.4 vs line
Median
33.5
−2 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
54%
at −118
Books’ fair
49%
margin removed
Our chance
50%
estimate · fair −101

Research, not a pick. At −102 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −101, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−6703 books—0/10
−3453 books—3/10
−2003 books—5/10
−1244 books−1183 books6/10
pick'em onlypick'em only6/10
−1101 book−1201 book6/10
+1253 books—7/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 35.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 35.5 Passing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 35.5Under 35.5
Pinnacle4 min ago−130−102Best
betPARX4 min ago−124Best−118
BetRivers4 min ago−124Best−118
Bally Bet4 min ago−124Best—

Prices as of 2:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

35.5

−134 → −118 since first seen

Joe Burrow's full game log and splits