Joe Burrow
CIN @ ATL · Sun, Nov 8 9:30 AM
Game log against Under 36.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 36.5 Passing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 23.9–47.6 passing attempts.
What's different on Sunday
Under 36.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
ATL allow 36.0 pass attempts a game to quarterbacks: 4th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 36.7 attempts · 2026: 38.1 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs TEN
Game lines
CIN −3 · total 52.5 (9 sportsbooks)
CIN's games this season closed at 46.8 on average (7 games)
Splits
Under 36.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Under 36.5
- Average
- 36.9
- +0.4 vs line
- Median
- 33.5
- −3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −132
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −112
Research, not a pick. At −120 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −112, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4003 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −2303 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1373 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1104 books | −1323 books | 6/10 | |
| +1144 books | −1401 book | 7/10 | |
| +1703 books | — | 8/10 | |
| +2503 books | — | 8/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 36.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 36.5 | Under 36.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada5 min ago | −110Best | −120Best |
| betPARX5 min ago | −110Best | −132 |
| BetRivers5 min ago | −110Best | −132 |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | −110Best | — |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 9:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
36.535.5 → 36.5 since first seen