Joe Burrow

Cincinnati Bengals · QB · #9

PIT @ CIN · Sun, Nov 15 8:20 PM

Over Under26.5

Under 26.5 Completions, typical price −1174 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 26.5 Completions hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 at home).

vs ARI, 2025-12-28: 24, hit, 31 attempts
vs CLE, 2026-01-04: 29, missed, 39 attempts
vs TB, 2026-09-13: 25, hit, 35 attempts
at HOU, 2026-09-20: 20, hit, 31 attempts
at PIT, 2026-09-27: 28, missed, 37 attempts
vs JAX, 2026-10-04: 39, missed, 54 attempts
at MIA, 2026-10-11: 23, hit, 32 attempts
at BAL, 2026-10-25: 22, hit, 30 attempts
vs TEN, 2026-11-01: 38, missed, 48 attempts
at ATL, 2026-11-08: 24, hit, 29 attempts

Under hitMissedThe 26.5 linePass attempts

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 16.6–35.2 completions.

What's different on Sunday

Under 26.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs quarterbacks
PIT allow 22.9 completions a game to quarterbacks: 7th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 35.7 attempts · 2026: 37 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at ATL
Game lines
CIN −3.5 · total 49.5 (8 sportsbooks)
CIN's games this season closed at 47.5 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 26.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs PIT

Completions: 28 in 37 attempts, Sep 27 (away)

Under 26.5 hit in 0 of 3 games against PIT on record

L10 · Under 26.5

Average: 27.2; +0.7 vs line
Median: 24.5; −2 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 54%; at −117
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 54%; estimate · fair −116

Research, not a pick. At −116 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −116, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4203 books	—	3/10
−1573 books	—	6/10
−1124 books	−1172 books	6/10
+1253 books	—	6/10
+2303 books	—	8/10
+4203 books	—	8/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 26.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 26.5 Completions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 26.5	Under 26.5
Pinnacle6 min ago	−114	−116Best
betPARX6 min ago	−110Best	−117
Bally Bet6 min ago	−110Best	—
BetRivers6 min ago	−112	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

26.5

Under: No move since first seen