Jaylen Waddle
DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickNew team
8 games with DEN; before that, MIA
Over 3.5 with DEN: 4 of 8; his last 10 games before: 5 of 10
Defense vs wide receivers
CAR allow 12.1 receptions a game to wide receivers: 9th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 6.7 targets · 2026: 6.4 (8 games)
Target share: 23% last 3 games · 20% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game log against Over 3.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).
Count only
Over 3.5 · L10Last vs CAR
Receptions: 6 in 9 targets, Oct 5, 2025 (away)
Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 3.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 65%
- at −188
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 6.1
- 10 games · 6.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4701 book | — | 6/10 | |
| −1881 book | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +1181 book | −1581 book | 3/10 | |
| +2301 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +4301 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +7501 book | — | 1/10 | |
| +12001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel4 min ago | −188Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:04 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.54.5 → 3.5 since first seen