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Jayden Daniels

Washington Commanders · QB · #5

LAR @ WSH · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder39.5
Over 39.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1135 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 39.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 39.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

  1. at LAC, 2025-10-05: 39, missed, 8 carries
  2. vs CHI, 2025-10-13: 52, cleared, 10 carries
  3. at DAL, 2025-10-19: 35, missed, 8 carries
  4. vs SEA, 2025-11-02: 51, cleared, 10 carries
  5. at MIN, 2025-12-07: 16, missed, 4 carries
  6. at PHI, 2026-09-13: 31, missed, 5 carries
  7. at DAL, 2026-09-20: 69, cleared, 7 carries
  8. vs NYG, 2026-10-11: 103, cleared, 9 carries
  9. at SF, 2026-10-19: 10, missed, 4 carries
  10. vs PHI, 2026-11-01: 23, missed, 2 carries
ClearedMissedThe 39.5 lineCarries

What's different on Sunday

Over 39.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • SunDefense vs quarterbacks

    LAR allow 24.9 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 3rd most of 32

    8 games

  • Carries

    Last 3: 5 carries · 2026: 5.4 (5 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs PHI

  • Game lines

    WSH +4.5 · total 48 (6 sportsbooks)

    WSH's games this season closed at 45.1 on average (7 games)

Splits

Over 39.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 39.5

Average
42.9
+3.4 vs line
Median
37
−2.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −113
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Carries
6.7
10 games · 8.3 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 39.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−3401 book—7/10
−2304 books—7/10
−1142 books−1142 books5/10
−1135 books−1153 books4/10
+1554 books—4/10
+2554 books—2/10
+4004 books—1/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks at 39.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 39.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 39.5Under 39.5
FanDuel9 min ago+100Best—
Bally Bet9 min ago−113—
betPARX9 min ago−113−115Best
BetRivers9 min ago−114−117
Bovada9 min ago−115−115Best

Prices as of 11:17 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

39.5

37.5 → 39.5 since first seen

Jayden Daniels's full game log and splits