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Jayden Daniels

Washington Commanders · QB · #5

WSH @ NYG · Thu, Nov 12 8:15 PM
OverUnder204.5
Over 204.5 Passing Yards, typical price −1154 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 204.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 204.5 Passing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs CHI, 2025-10-13: 211, cleared, 26 attempts
  2. at DAL, 2025-10-19: 156, missed, 22 attempts
  3. vs SEA, 2025-11-02: 153, missed, 22 attempts
  4. at MIN, 2025-12-07: 78, missed, 20 attempts
  5. at PHI, 2026-09-13: 164, missed, 34 attempts
  6. at DAL, 2026-09-20: 96, missed, 17 attempts
  7. vs NYG, 2026-10-11: 199, missed, 25 attempts
  8. at SF, 2026-10-19: 300, cleared, 40 attempts
  9. vs PHI, 2026-11-01: 217, cleared, 29 attempts
  10. vs LAR, 2026-11-08: 274, cleared, 35 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 204.5 linePass attempts

What's different on Thursday

Over 204.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • ThuDefense vs quarterbacks

    NYG allow 189.3 passing yards a game to quarterbacks: 30th most of 32

    8 games

  • ThuRest

    3 days off since Nov 8 vs LAR: a short week

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 34.7 attempts · 2026: 30 (6 games)

  • Game lines

    WSH +1.5 · total 42.5 (7 sportsbooks)

    WSH's games this season closed at 45.4 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 204.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYG

Passing Yards: 199 in 25 attempts, Oct 11 (home)

Over 204.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against NYG on record

L10 · Over 204.5

Average
184.8
−19.7 vs line
Median
181.5
−23 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Pass attempts
27
10 games · 26.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 204.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−2453 books—5/10
−1324 books—4/10
−1141 book−1141 book4/10
−1154 books−1143 books4/10
+1504 books—2/10
+2854 books—2/10
+4701 book—1/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 204.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 204.5 Passing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 204.5Under 204.5
Bally Bet3 min ago−115Best—
betPARX3 min ago−115Best−113Best
Bovada3 min ago−115Best−115
BetRivers5 min ago−117−114
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:20 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

204.5

205.5 → 204.5 since first seen

Jayden Daniels's full game log and splits