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Jayden Daniels

Washington Commanders · QB · #5

WSH @ NYG · Thu, Nov 12 8:15 PM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price +1405 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 1.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs CHI, 2025-10-13: 3, cleared, 26 attempts
  2. at DAL, 2025-10-19: 1, missed, 22 attempts
  3. vs SEA, 2025-11-02: 0, missed, 22 attempts
  4. at MIN, 2025-12-07: 0, missed, 20 attempts
  5. at PHI, 2026-09-13: 2, cleared, 34 attempts
  6. at DAL, 2026-09-20: 1, missed, 17 attempts
  7. vs NYG, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 25 attempts
  8. at SF, 2026-10-19: 2, cleared, 40 attempts
  9. vs PHI, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 29 attempts
  10. vs LAR, 2026-11-08: 1, missed, 35 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

What's different on Thursday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • ThuRest

    3 days off since Nov 8 vs LAR: a short week

  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    NYG allow 1.75 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 10th most of 32

    8 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 34.7 attempts · 2026: 30 (6 games)

  • Game lines

    WSH +2.5 · total 42 (5 sportsbooks)

    WSH's games this season closed at 45.4 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYG

Passing TDs: 0 in 25 attempts, Oct 11 (home)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against NYG on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
1.1
−0.4 vs line
Median
1
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
42%
at +140
Books’ fair
38%
margin removed
Pass attempts
27
10 games · 26.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 38%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4204 books—7/10
+1405 books−2004 books3/10
+5754 books—1/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
FanDuel5 min ago+152Best−205
Bovada10 min ago+150−200
Bally Bet10 min ago+140—
betPARX6 min ago+140−186Best
BetRivers5 min ago+138−186Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 7:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: +132 → +140 since first seen

Jayden Daniels's full game log and splits