Jayden Daniels

Washington Commanders · QB · #5

LAR @ WSH · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under262.5

Under 262.5 Pass+Rush Yards, typical price −1153 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 262.5 Pass+Rush Yards hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).

at LAC, 2025-10-05: 270, missed, 34 attempts + carries
vs CHI, 2025-10-13: 263, missed, 36 attempts + carries
at DAL, 2025-10-19: 191, hit, 30 attempts + carries
vs SEA, 2025-11-02: 204, hit, 32 attempts + carries
at MIN, 2025-12-07: 94, hit, 24 attempts + carries
at PHI, 2026-09-13: 195, hit, 39 attempts + carries
at DAL, 2026-09-20: 165, hit, 24 attempts + carries
vs NYG, 2026-10-11: 302, missed, 34 attempts + carries
at SF, 2026-10-19: 310, missed, 44 attempts + carries
vs PHI, 2026-11-01: 240, hit, 31 attempts + carries

Under hitMissedThe 262.5 linePass attempts + carries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 152.9–318.2 pass+rush yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 262.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Pass attempts + carries
Last 3: 36.3 attempts + carries · 2026: 34.4 (5 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs PHI
Game lines
WSH +5.5 · total 48.5 (6 sportsbooks)
WSH's games this season closed at 45.1 on average (7 games)
LAR injuries
Jaylen Watson (CB, Out, 3.7 tackles); Myles Garrett (DE, Injured Reserve, 3.5 tackles); Kam Curl (S, Questionable, 5.5 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10) · 1 more on the report

Splits

Under 262.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against LAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Under 262.5

Average: 223.4; −39.1 vs line
Median: 222; −40.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 57%; estimate · fair −132

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −132, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−3353 books	—	5/10
−1623 books	—	6/10
—	—	6/10
−1143 books	−1152 books	6/10
+1183 books	—	8/10
+2153 books	—	8/10
+3903 books	—	10/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 262.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 262.5 Pass+Rush Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 262.5	Under 262.5
betPARX5 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
BetRivers6 min ago	−115	−115
Bally Bet6 min ago	−114Best	—

Prices as of 3:01 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

262.5

256.5 → 262.5 since first seen