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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Seattle Seahawks · WR · #11

ARI @ SEA · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder7.5
Over 7.5 Receptions, typical price +1105 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 7.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 7.5 Receptions cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).

  1. vs LAR, 2026-01-25: 10, cleared, 12 targets
  2. at NE, 2026-02-08: 4, missed, 10 targets
  3. vs NE, 2026-09-09: 8, cleared, 11 targets
  4. at ARI, 2026-09-20: 9, cleared, 11 targets
  5. at WSH, 2026-09-27: 10, cleared, 14 targets
  6. vs LAC, 2026-10-04: 5, missed, 6 targets
  7. vs SF, 2026-10-11: 5, missed, 8 targets
  8. at DEN, 2026-10-15: 12, cleared, 16 targets
  9. vs KC, 2026-10-25: 9, cleared, 12 targets
  10. vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 6, missed, 11 targets
ClearedMissedThe 7.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • SunQuarterback

    Sam Darnold: Out (quadriceps). He led SEA in passing in 6 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Drew Lock 2 (Questionable, elbow). Over 7.5 with Darnold at quarterback: 14 of 26; with another SEA quarterback: 7 of 28

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    ARI allow 9.8 receptions a game to wide receivers: 27th most of 32

    8 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 13 targets · 2026: 11.1 (8 games)

    Target share: 35% last 3 games · 34% over 8 games this season

  • Rest

    5 days off since Nov 2 vs CHI

Splits

Over 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs ARI

Receptions: 9 in 11 targets, Sep 20 (away)

Over 7.5 hit in 1 of 6 games against ARI on record

L10 · Over 7.5

Average
7.8
+0.3 vs line
Median
8.5
+1 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
48%
at +110
Books’ fair
45%
margin removed
Targets
11.1
10 games · 9.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 45%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−9104 books—9/10
−3754 books—7/10
−1755 books+1182 books6/10
+1105 books−1412 books6/10
+1904 books—5/10
+3354 books—3/10
+5754 books—1/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 7.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 7.5Under 7.5
FanDuel5 min ago+116Best—
Bally Bet5 min ago+110—
betPARX5 min ago+110−141
BetRivers5 min ago+110—
Bovada5 min ago+105−135Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 2:42 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

Over: −108 → +110 since first seen

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's full game log and splits