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Jaxon Smith-Njigba

Seattle Seahawks · WR · #11

ARI @ SEA · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder99.5
Over 99.5 Receiving Yards, typical price +1174 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

Game log against Over 99.5

80%8 of 10L10

Over 99.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (5 of 6 at home).

  1. vs LAR, 2026-01-25: 153, cleared, 12 targets
  2. at NE, 2026-02-08: 27, missed, 10 targets
  3. vs NE, 2026-09-09: 122, cleared, 11 targets
  4. at ARI, 2026-09-20: 155, cleared, 11 targets
  5. at WSH, 2026-09-27: 128, cleared, 14 targets
  6. vs LAC, 2026-10-04: 76, missed, 6 targets
  7. vs SF, 2026-10-11: 102, cleared, 8 targets
  8. at DEN, 2026-10-15: 134, cleared, 16 targets
  9. vs KC, 2026-10-25: 150, cleared, 12 targets
  10. vs CHI, 2026-11-02: 118, cleared, 11 targets
ClearedMissedThe 99.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 99.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

All 4 of his last 4 came with Sam Darnold at quarterback; Darnold is out on Sunday. Without him (SEA): Over 99.5 in 5 of 28.

  • SunQuarterback

    Sam Darnold: Out (quadriceps). He led SEA in passing in 6 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Drew Lock 2 (Questionable, elbow). Over 99.5 with Darnold at quarterback: 15 of 26; with another SEA quarterback: 5 of 28

  • Defense vs wide receivers

    ARI allow 151.5 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 12th most of 32

    8 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 13 targets · 2026: 11.1 (8 games)

    Target share: 35% last 3 games · 34% over 8 games this season

  • Rest

    5 days off since Nov 2 vs CHI

Splits

Over 99.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs ARI

Receiving Yards: 155 in 11 targets, Sep 20 (away)

Over 99.5 hit in 1 of 6 games against ARI on record

L10 · Over 99.5

Average
116.5
+17 vs line
Median
125
+25.5 vs line
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10
Price implies
46%
at +117
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
11.1
10 games · 9.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1162 books−1142 books8/10
pick'em onlypick'em only8/10
−1151 book−1151 book8/10
+1174 books—8/10
+1654 books—7/10
+2253 books—6/10
+2551 book—5/10
Compare 4 sportsbooks at 99.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 99.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 99.5Under 99.5
Bally Bet2 min ago+117Best—
betPARX2 min ago+117Best—
BetRivers3 min ago+117Best—
FanDuel2 min ago+112—

Prices as of 1:09 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

99.5

−114 → +117 since first seen

Jaxon Smith-Njigba's full game log and splits