Javonte Williams
SF @ DAL · Sun, Nov 15 4:25 PM
Game log against Under 17.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 17.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 8.5–22.6 rushing attempts.
What's different on Sunday
Under 17.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunCarries
Last 3: 23 carries · 2026: 17.1 (9 games) · up 35%
Defense vs running backs
SF allow 20.6 carries a game to running backs: 25th most of 32
8 games
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at IND
Game lines
DAL +4 · total 56 (6 sportsbooks)
DAL's games this season closed at 50.6 on average (9 games)
Splits
Under 17.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against SF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Under 17.5
- Average
- 16.7
- −0.8 vs line
- Median
- 16
- −1.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 57%
- at −132
- Books’ fair
- 53%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 54%
- estimate · fair −117
Research, not a pick. At −132 the price is worse than our fair −117, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2783 books | — | 5/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| +1023 books | −1321 book | 5/10 | |
| +1853 books | — | 7/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks at 17.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 17.5 | Under 17.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX5 min ago | +102Best | −132Best |
| Bally Bet5 min ago | +102Best | — |
| BetRivers5 min ago | +102Best | — |
Prices as of 5:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
17.5−114 → −132 since first seen